Matchup Machine

Christian En-Strand

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matchup for Garrett Crochet

51st out of 436 (Best 12%)

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Garrett Crochet

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matchup for C. En-Strand

529th out of 567 (Worst 7%)

Extreme advantage for Crochet
9

Model Prediction

Christian En-Strand has a 22.0% chance of reaching base vs Garrett Crochet, which is 4.8% lower than En-Strand's typical expectations, and 5.4% lower than batters facing Crochet.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction22.0%18.4%3.0%4.1%11.3%3.6%42.6%
En-Strand-4.8-2.6-0.4-0.9-1.3-2.2+12.2
Crochet-5.4-2.5+0.6-1.0-2.1-2.9+7.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Christian En-Strand is worse vs left-handed pitching. Garrett Crochet is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. En-Strand doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Garrett Crochet throws a 4-seam fastball 58% of the time. Christian En-Strand hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
58%
   Cutter (L)
18%
   Slider (L)
16%
   Changeup (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

19.3% of Christian En-Strand's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.5% higher than the league average. Garrett Crochet strikes out 21.3% of the batters he faces, which is 9.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +4.5% +9.4% 6%         Walk -3.3% -1.3% 45%         In Play -1.3% -8.1% 39%         On Base -1.0% -3.9% 31%         Hit +2.3% -2.5% 14%         Single +0.0% -1.4% 13%         2B / 3B +0.4% -1.1% 3%         Home Run +1.8% +0.1%

History

Christian En-Strand has 3 plate appearances against Garrett Crochet in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with 3 strikeouts.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual330000300.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-04-13Strikeout
2024-04-13Strikeout
2024-04-13Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.