Matchup Machine

Christian En-Strand

sometext

matchup for Logan Webb

out of 436 (Worst %)

sometext

Logan Webb

sometext

matchup for C. En-Strand

250th out of 567 (Best 45%)

Leans in favor of Webb
2

Model Prediction

Christian En-Strand has a 28.2% chance of reaching base vs Logan Webb, which is 0.9% higher than En-Strand's typical expectations, and 4.2% lower than batters facing Webb.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.2%22.8%3.7%4.8%14.3%5.4%28.9%
En-Strand+0.9+1.6+0.0+0.0+1.6-0.7-1.4
Webb-4.2-1.6+1.30.0-2.9-2.7+5.9

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Christian En-Strand is better vs right-handed pitching. Logan Webb is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. En-Strand has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Left Arrow
Show Vertical Release

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Logan Webb throws a Sinker 36% of the time. Christian En-Strand has a B- grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
36%
   Changeup (R)
34%
   Slider (R)
25%

Contact and Outcomes

19.2% of Christian En-Strand's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.1% higher than the league average. Logan Webb strikes out 15.1% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout +4.1% -0.8% 6%         Walk -3.1% -2.4% 45%         In Play -1.0% +3.2% 39%         On Base -1.2% +1.6% 31%         Hit +1.9% +4.0% 14%         Single -0.1% +2.8% 13%         2B / 3B +0.3% +2.5% 3%         Home Run +1.7% -1.3%

History

Christian En-Strand has 7 plate appearances against Logan Webb in the last 3 years. He is 4 for 7 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual774013000.571
Expected From Contact →3.720.001.192.530.532
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2025-03-27Groundout
2025-03-27Single
2023-08-30Single40%48%12%
2023-08-30Double70%16%14%
2023-08-30Single8%37%55%
2023-07-17Groundout53%47%
2023-07-17Flyout100%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.