Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Christian En-Strand

matchup for Seth Lugo

88th out of 436 (Best 21%)

Seth Lugo

matchup for C. En-Strand

229th out of 567 (Best 41%)

Moderate advantage for Lugo

Christian En-Strand has a 27.4% chance of reaching base vs Seth Lugo, which is 0.6% higher than En-Strand's typical expectations, and 5.0% lower than batters facing Lugo.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	27.4%	22.6%	4.4%	4.9%	13.4%	4.9%	32.5%
En-Strand	+0.6	+1.5	+0.9	-0.1	+0.7	-0.9	+2.1
Lugo	-5.0	-1.3	+1.2	-0.1	-2.5	-3.7	+7.7

Christian En-Strand is better vs right-handed pitching. Seth Lugo is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. En-Strand has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Seth Lugo throws a 4-seam fastball 29% of the time. Christian En-Strand has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

29%

Curve (R)

28%

Sinker (R)

17%

Slider (R)

13%

Changeup (R)

10% of Seth Lugo's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Christian En-Strand hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 10%

+2%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

25% of Seth Lugo's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Christian En-Strand hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 25%

+20%

Large Break 18%

+13%

Extreme Slow Velo 16%

+11%

Breaking (R) 41%

+10%

19.3% of Christian En-Strand's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.5% higher than the league average. Seth Lugo strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +4.5% +0.8% 6%

Walk -3.3% -2.3% 45%

In Play -1.3% +1.4% 39%

On Base -1.0% -0.4% 31%

Hit +2.3% +1.9% 14%

Single +0.0% +0.7% 13%

2B / 3B +0.4% +1.1% 3%

Home Run +1.8% +0.1%

24.5% of Christian En-Strand's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 9.9% lower than the league average. Seth Lugo induces Standard Grounders at a 36.3% rate, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt 0.0% +1.4% 34%

Standard Grounder -9.9% +1.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +2.2% -1.6% 14%

Low Screamer -6.1% +0.5% 9%

Rising Liner +3.1% -1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +3.0% -0.5% 3%

Likely Homer -1.8% +2.1% 1%

No Doubter +6.1% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout +2.9% -0.1% 3%

Pop up +0.6% -2.2%

42.7% of Christian En-Strand's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 18.4% higher than the league average. 22.7% of batted balls allowed by Seth Lugo are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -6.7% +1.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph -5.8% +0.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph -1.5% -1.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph -4.4% +0.8% 24%

Above 100 mph +18.4% -1.6%

17.4% of Christian En-Strand's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 6.0% higher than the league average. 14.0% of batted balls allowed by Seth Lugo are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%