Matchup Machine

Christian En-Strand

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matchup for Aaron Nola

71st out of 436 (Best 17%)

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Aaron Nola

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matchup for C. En-Strand

396th out of 567 (Worst 30%)

Strong advantage for Nola
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Model Prediction

Christian En-Strand has a 24.8% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Nola, which is 2.0% lower than En-Strand's typical expectations, and 4.7% lower than batters facing Nola.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction24.8%20.7%3.6%6.1%11.0%4.1%37.3%
En-Strand-2.0-0.3+0.2+1.2-1.7-1.6+6.9
Nola-4.7-1.7+0.6-0.2-2.2-3.0+6.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Christian En-Strand is better vs right-handed pitching. Aaron Nola is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. En-Strand has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Aaron Nola throws a Kn-Curve 30% of the time. Christian En-Strand hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Kn-Curve (R)
30%
   4-Seam (R)
30%
   Sinker (R)
20%
   Changeup (R)
12%
   Cutter (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

19.3% of Christian En-Strand's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.5% higher than the league average. Aaron Nola strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +4.5% +6.3% 6%         Walk -3.3% -2.8% 45%         In Play -1.3% -3.5% 39%         On Base -1.0% -4.8% 31%         Hit +2.3% -2.0% 14%         Single +0.0% -0.8% 13%         2B / 3B +0.4% -0.7% 3%         Home Run +1.8% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years