Matchup Machine

Christian En-Strand

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matchup for Tyler Anderson

41st out of 436 (Best 10%)

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Tyler Anderson

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matchup for C. En-Strand

216th out of 567 (Best 39%)

Leans in favor of Anderson
2

Model Prediction

Christian En-Strand has a 27.6% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Anderson, which is 0.8% higher than En-Strand's typical expectations, and 6.1% lower than batters facing Anderson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction27.6%21.6%3.9%4.7%12.9%6.1%27.9%
En-Strand+0.8+0.5+0.5-0.2+0.2+0.3-2.6
Anderson-6.1-0.7+1.0-0.5-1.2-5.4+6.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Christian En-Strand is worse vs left-handed pitching. Tyler Anderson is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. En-Strand doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Anderson throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Christian En-Strand hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
38%
   Changeup (L)
32%
   Cutter (L)
22%
   Sinker (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

19.3% of Christian En-Strand's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.5% higher than the league average. Tyler Anderson strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +4.5% -1.9% 6%         Walk -3.3% -1.0% 45%         In Play -1.3% +2.9% 39%         On Base -1.0% -0.1% 31%         Hit +2.3% +0.9% 14%         Single +0.0% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B +0.4% +0.6% 3%         Home Run +1.8% -0.2%

History

Christian En-Strand has 3 plate appearances against Tyler Anderson in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual320000110.000
Expected From Contact →0.030.000.000.030.015
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-08-23Walk
2023-08-23GIDP3%97%
2023-08-23Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.