Matchup Machine

Jordan Beck

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matchup for Ryne Nelson

2nd out of 436 (Best 1%)

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Ryne Nelson

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matchup for Jordan Beck

409th out of 567 (Worst 28%)

Extreme advantage for Nelson
9

Model Prediction

Jordan Beck has a 22.6% chance of reaching base vs Ryne Nelson, which is 2.2% lower than Beck's typical expectations, and 7.4% lower than batters facing Nelson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction22.6%17.8%2.1%4.1%11.6%4.9%38.4%
Beck-2.2+0.1-0.4+0.4+0.1-2.3+1.9
Nelson-7.4-5.7-0.6-0.8-4.2-1.8+12.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Jordan Beck hasn't faced much right-handed pitching. Ryne Nelson is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Beck doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ryne Nelson throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Jordan Beck hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
56%
   Cutter (R)
15%
   Slider (R)
11%
   Changeup (R)
11%
   Curve (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

28.0% of Jordan Beck's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 10.6% higher than the league average. Ryne Nelson strikes out 13.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout +10.6% -2.9% 6%         Walk -1.2% -2.2% 55%         In Play -9.4% +5.1% 39%         On Base -3.9% +0.3% 31%         Hit -2.7% +2.5% 14%         Single -1.1% +1.0% 13%         2B / 3B -0.7% +1.5% 3%         Home Run -0.9% +0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years