Matchup Machine

Jordan Beck

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matchup for Seth Lugo

1st out of 436 (Best 1%)

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Seth Lugo

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matchup for Jordan Beck

375th out of 567 (Worst 34%)

Extreme advantage for Lugo
9

Model Prediction

Jordan Beck has a 24.2% chance of reaching base vs Seth Lugo, which is 0.7% lower than Beck's typical expectations, and 8.3% lower than batters facing Lugo.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction24.2%17.6%2.0%3.8%11.8%6.5%39.2%
Beck-0.7-0.1-0.5+0.1+0.3-0.6+2.7
Lugo-8.3-6.3-1.1-1.1-4.0-2.0+14.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Jordan Beck hasn't faced much right-handed pitching. Seth Lugo is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Beck doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Seth Lugo throws a 4-seam fastball 29% of the time. Jordan Beck hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
29%
   Curve (R)
28%
   Sinker (R)
17%
   Slider (R)
13%
   Changeup (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

28.0% of Jordan Beck's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 10.6% higher than the league average. Seth Lugo strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout +10.6% +0.8% 6%         Walk -1.2% -2.3% 55%         In Play -9.4% +1.4% 39%         On Base -3.9% -0.4% 31%         Hit -2.7% +1.9% 14%         Single -1.1% +0.7% 13%         2B / 3B -0.7% +1.1% 3%         Home Run -0.9% +0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years