Matchup Machine

Jordan Beck

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matchup for Aaron Nola

3rd out of 436 (Best 1%)

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Aaron Nola

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matchup for Jordan Beck

438th out of 567 (Worst 23%)

Extreme advantage for Nola
10

Model Prediction

Jordan Beck has a 21.4% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Nola, which is 3.4% lower than Beck's typical expectations, and 8.0% lower than batters facing Nola.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction21.4%16.8%3.0%4.4%9.4%4.7%45.0%
Beck-3.4-0.9+0.5+0.7-2.1-2.5+8.4
Nola-8.0-5.6+0.0-1.9-3.7-2.4+14.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Jordan Beck hasn't faced much right-handed pitching. Aaron Nola is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Beck does't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Aaron Nola throws a Kn-Curve 30% of the time. Jordan Beck hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Kn-Curve (R)
30%
   4-Seam (R)
30%
   Sinker (R)
20%
   Changeup (R)
12%
   Cutter (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

28.0% of Jordan Beck's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 10.6% higher than the league average. Aaron Nola strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout +10.6% +6.3% 6%         Walk -1.2% -2.8% 55%         In Play -9.4% -3.5% 39%         On Base -3.9% -4.8% 31%         Hit -2.7% -2.0% 14%         Single -1.1% -0.8% 13%         2B / 3B -0.7% -0.7% 3%         Home Run -0.9% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years