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Spencer Horwitz

matchup for George Kirby

337th out of 436 (Worst 23%)

George Kirby

matchup for Spencer Horwitz

420th out of 567 (Worst 26%)

Leans in favor of Horwitz

Spencer Horwitz has a 29.5% chance of reaching base vs George Kirby, which is 3.4% lower than Horwitz's typical expectations, and 1.3% higher than batters facing Kirby.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.5%	22.2%	3.0%	4.6%	14.5%	7.3%	17.9%
Horwitz	-3.4	+0.4	-0.4	0.0	+0.8	-3.8	-4.5
Kirby	+1.3	-0.5	+0.3	-0.6	-0.3	+1.8	-2.8

Spencer Horwitz is much better vs right-handed pitching. George Kirby is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Horwitz has a D grade vs this particular release point.

George Kirby throws a 4-seam fastball 40% of the time. Spencer Horwitz has a B+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

40%

Slider (R)

22%

Sinker (R)

19%

Curve (R)

Splitter (R)

12% of George Kirby's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Spencer Horwitz hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 12%

+3%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Chaser 6%

+0%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Likely Ball 17%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-3%

Non-Competitive 8%

-4%

26% of George Kirby's pitches are classified as Very Fast Velocity, which is 18% higher than the MLB average. Spencer Horwitz hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Very Fast Velo 26%

+18%

Medium Break 18%

+9%

12.6% of Spencer Horwitz's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.7% lower than the league average. George Kirby strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Strikeout -4.7% +0.5% 4%

Walk +2.8% -5.1% 42%

In Play +1.9% +4.6% 39%

On Base +2.1% -3.9% 31%

Hit -0.7% +1.2% 14%

Single -0.9% +0.5% 13%

2B / 3B -0.5% +0.8% 3%

Home Run +0.8% -0.1%

38.3% of Spencer Horwitz's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.9% higher than the league average. George Kirby induces Standard Grounders at a 36.4% rate, which is 2.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.8% -0.6% 34%

Standard Grounder +3.9% +2.0% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.6% +0.1% 14%

Low Screamer -0.1% -1.4% 9%

Rising Liner -2.9% -2.7% 4%

Maybe Homer -2.2% -0.9% 3%

Likely Homer -0.9% -0.6% 1%

No Doubter +1.5% -1.1% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.5% +3.1% 3%

Pop up +0.5% +2.1%

22.4% of Spencer Horwitz's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.9% lower than the league average. 22.6% of batted balls allowed by George Kirby are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.5% -4.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.4% +3.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph 0.0% +2.3% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.8% +0.7% 24%

Above 100 mph -1.9% -1.7%

11.0% of Spencer Horwitz's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.4% lower than the league average. 12.5% of batted balls allowed by George Kirby are hit at this angle, which is 1.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -3.3% +2.1% 12%

-10 to 0° +1.0% +2.2% 8%

1 to 6° +0.7% -1.2% 18%

7 to 18° -0.6% -5.3% 15%

19 to 28° +7.1% -1.8% 11%

29 to 38° -0.4% +1.0% 7%

39 to 50° -3.4% +1.0% 8%

Above 50° -1.1% +1.9%

Spencer Horwitz has 3 plate appearances against George Kirby in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 3.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	2	0	0	2	0	0	0.667
Expected From Contact →			1.76	0.00	0.14	1.62			0.586

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-07-07	Single		13%	68%	19%
2024-07-07	Single			70%	30%
2024-07-07	Groundout			24%	76%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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