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Spencer Horwitz

matchup for Trevor Rogers

314th out of 436 (Worst 28%)

Trevor Rogers

matchup for Spencer Horwitz

162nd out of 567 (Best 29%)

Strong advantage for Horwitz

Spencer Horwitz has a 34.5% chance of reaching base vs Trevor Rogers, which is 1.6% higher than Horwitz's typical expectations, and 0.5% higher than batters facing Rogers.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	34.5%	23.3%	3.2%	5.3%	14.7%	11.2%	17.2%
Horwitz	+1.6	+1.5	-0.1	+0.7	+1.0	+0.1	-5.3
Rogers	+0.5	-0.9	+0.5	-0.4	-1.1	+1.4	-2.4

Spencer Horwitz is much worse vs left-handed pitching. Trevor Rogers is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Horwitz doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Trevor Rogers throws a 4-seam fastball 48% of the time. Spencer Horwitz hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

48%

Changeup (L)

26%

Slider (L)

18%

Sinker (L)

13% of Trevor Rogers's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Spencer Horwitz has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Fringe Miss 14%

+1%

Chaser 6%

+1%

Strong Challenge 5%

Likely Ball 19%

Weak Challenge 8%

-1%

Meatball 4%

-2%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

48% of Trevor Rogers's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 26% higher than the MLB average. Spencer Horwitz hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 48%

+26%

Offspeed (L) 26%

+14%

Fast Velo 20%

+10%

Medium Ride 23%

+9%

12.6% of Spencer Horwitz's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.7% lower than the league average. Trevor Rogers strikes out 14.8% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Strikeout -4.7% -0.4% 4%

Walk +2.8% +0.3% 42%

In Play +1.9% +0.2% 39%

On Base +2.1% +0.7% 31%

Hit -0.7% +0.4% 14%

Single -0.9% +0.4% 13%

2B / 3B -0.5% +0.8% 3%

Home Run +0.8% -0.8%

38.3% of Spencer Horwitz's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.9% higher than the league average. Trevor Rogers induces Standard Grounders at a 33.3% rate, which is 1.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.8% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder +3.9% -1.1% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.6% +2.9% 14%

Low Screamer -0.1% -0.2% 9%

Rising Liner -2.9% -0.5% 4%

Maybe Homer -2.2% +0.9% 3%

Likely Homer -0.9% -0.5% 1%

No Doubter +1.5% -0.7% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.5% +0.2% 3%

Pop up +0.5% -0.9%

22.4% of Spencer Horwitz's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.9% lower than the league average. 28.8% of batted balls allowed by Trevor Rogers are hit at above 100 mph, which is 4.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.5% -1.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.4% -3.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph 0.0% +1.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.8% -0.3% 24%

Above 100 mph -1.9% +4.5%

11.0% of Spencer Horwitz's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.4% lower than the league average. 10.3% of batted balls allowed by Trevor Rogers are hit at this angle, which is 1.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -3.3% -0.1% 12%

-10 to 0° +1.0% +1.2% 8%

1 to 6° +0.7% +0.5% 18%

7 to 18° -0.6% -0.3% 15%

19 to 28° +7.1% +2.7% 11%

29 to 38° -0.4% -1.1% 7%

39 to 50° -3.4% -1.5% 8%

Above 50° -1.1% -1.4%

Spencer Horwitz has 3 plate appearances against Trevor Rogers in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.92	0.00	0.41	0.50			0.305

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-08-07	Sac Fly		39%	8%	53%
2024-08-07	Groundout		2%	8%	90%
2024-08-07	GIDP			35%	65%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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