Matchup Machine

Spencer Horwitz

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matchup for Sean Reynolds

311st out of 436 (Worst 29%)

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Sean Reynolds

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matchup for Spencer Horwitz

out of 567 (Worst %)

Leans in favor of Horwitz
1

Model Prediction

Spencer Horwitz has a 32.7% chance of reaching base vs Sean Reynolds, which is 0.2% higher than Horwitz's typical expectations, and 1.4% higher than batters facing Reynolds.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.7%17.4%3.2%3.8%10.4%15.4%30.4%
Horwitz-0.2-4.4-0.2-0.9-3.3+4.3+7.9
Reynolds+1.4-2.1+0.5-1.1-1.5+3.5-1.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Spencer Horwitz is much better vs right-handed pitching. Sean Reynolds is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Horwitz has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Sean Reynolds throws a 4-seam fastball 48% of the time. Spencer Horwitz has a B+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
48%
   Slider (R)
46%
   Changeup (R)
5%

Contact and Outcomes

12.6% of Spencer Horwitz's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.7% lower than the league average. Sean Reynolds strikes out 34.7% of the batters he faces, which is 20.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -4.7% +20.7% 4%         Walk +2.8% +2.8% 42%         In Play +1.9% -23.5% 39%         On Base +2.1% -5.4% 31%         Hit -0.7% -8.2% 14%         Single -0.9% -2.9% 13%         2B / 3B -0.5% -2.5% 3%         Home Run +0.8% -2.8%

History

No History in the last 3 years