Matchup Machine

Spencer Horwitz

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matchup for Logan Gilbert

255th out of 436 (Worst 42%)

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Logan Gilbert

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matchup for Spencer Horwitz

563rd out of 567 (Worst 1%)

Strong advantage for Gilbert
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Model Prediction

Spencer Horwitz has a 24.5% chance of reaching base vs Logan Gilbert, which is 8.4% lower than Horwitz's typical expectations, and 0.3% higher than batters facing Gilbert.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction24.5%18.4%2.7%4.5%11.2%6.1%33.9%
Horwitz-8.4-3.4-0.7-0.2-2.5-5.0+11.4
Gilbert-0.3-1.4+0.3-0.6-1.1+1.1-0.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Spencer Horwitz is much better vs right-handed pitching. Logan Gilbert is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Horwitz has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Logan Gilbert throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Spencer Horwitz has a B+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
44%
   Slider (R)
29%
   Kn-Curve (R)
9%
   Splitter (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

12.6% of Spencer Horwitz's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.7% lower than the league average. Logan Gilbert strikes out 18.2% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -4.7% +4.3% 4%         Walk +2.8% -4.2% 42%         In Play +1.9% 0.0% 39%         On Base +2.1% -7.3% 31%         Hit -0.7% -3.1% 14%         Single -0.9% -2.0% 13%         2B / 3B -0.5% -1.6% 3%         Home Run +0.8% +0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years