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Spencer Horwitz

matchup for Carlos Rodon

340th out of 436 (Worst 22%)

Carlos Rodon

matchup for Spencer Horwitz

487th out of 567 (Worst 14%)

Leans in favor of Rodon

Spencer Horwitz has a 30.9% chance of reaching base vs Carlos Rodon, which is 2.0% lower than Horwitz's typical expectations, and 2.2% higher than batters facing Rodon.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.9%	19.6%	3.3%	3.6%	12.7%	11.3%	29.9%
Horwitz	-2.0	-2.2	0.0	-1.1	-1.1	+0.2	+7.4
Rodon	+2.2	-0.8	+0.5	-0.5	-0.8	+3.0	-4.4

Spencer Horwitz is much worse vs left-handed pitching. Carlos Rodon is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Horwitz doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Carlos Rodon throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Spencer Horwitz hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

56%

Slider (L)

28%

Changeup (L)

Curve (L)

14% of Carlos Rodon's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Spencer Horwitz has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Strong Challenge 8%

+2%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Weak Challenge 7%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-3%

41% of Carlos Rodon's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 22% higher than the MLB average. Spencer Horwitz hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 41%

+22%

High Ride 32%

+22%

Very Fast Velo 19%

+16%

12.6% of Spencer Horwitz's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.7% lower than the league average. Carlos Rodon strikes out 19.6% of the batters he faces, which is 5.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Strikeout -4.7% +5.5% 4%

Walk +2.8% +0.2% 42%

In Play +1.9% -5.7% 39%

On Base +2.1% -2.4% 31%

Hit -0.7% -2.6% 14%

Single -0.9% -1.6% 13%

2B / 3B -0.5% -1.5% 3%

Home Run +0.8% +0.5%

38.3% of Spencer Horwitz's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.9% higher than the league average. Carlos Rodon induces Standard Grounders at a 29.3% rate, which is 5.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.8% +0.6% 34%

Standard Grounder +3.9% -5.1% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.6% +0.2% 14%

Low Screamer -0.1% +2.3% 9%

Rising Liner -2.9% -0.7% 4%

Maybe Homer -2.2% -1.2% 3%

Likely Homer -0.9% +0.6% 1%

No Doubter +1.5% +1.1% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.5% +1.5% 3%

Pop up +0.5% +0.7%

22.4% of Spencer Horwitz's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.9% lower than the league average. 25.7% of batted balls allowed by Carlos Rodon are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.5% -3.1% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.4% +1.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph 0.0% -0.3% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.8% +0.9% 24%

Above 100 mph -1.9% +1.4%

11.0% of Spencer Horwitz's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.4% lower than the league average. 10.9% of batted balls allowed by Carlos Rodon are hit at this angle, which is 0.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -3.3% -3.0% 12%

-10 to 0° +1.0% -1.2% 8%

1 to 6° +0.7% +0.3% 18%

7 to 18° -0.6% -0.7% 15%

19 to 28° +7.1% +0.3% 11%

29 to 38° -0.4% -0.5% 7%

39 to 50° -3.4% +3.0% 8%

Above 50° -1.1% +1.9%

Spencer Horwitz has 2 plate appearances against Carlos Rodon in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a walk

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00			0.003

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-08-03	Walk
2024-08-03	Pop Out				100%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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