Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Spencer Horwitz

matchup for Aaron Nola

301st out of 436 (Worst 31%)

Aaron Nola

matchup for Spencer Horwitz

431st out of 567 (Worst 24%)

Leans in favor of Horwitz

Spencer Horwitz has a 30.9% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Nola, which is 2.0% lower than Horwitz's typical expectations, and 1.5% higher than batters facing Nola.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.9%	21.3%	3.6%	5.3%	12.4%	9.7%	30.3%
Horwitz	-2.0	-0.5	+0.2	+0.6	-1.3	-1.4	+7.9
Nola	+1.5	-1.1	+0.6	-1.0	-0.7	+2.6	-0.5

Spencer Horwitz is much better vs right-handed pitching. Aaron Nola is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Horwitz has a D grade vs this particular release point.

Aaron Nola throws a Kn-Curve 30% of the time. Spencer Horwitz hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Kn-Curve (R)

30%

4-Seam (R)

30%

Sinker (R)

20%

Changeup (R)

12%

Cutter (R)

8% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Chasers, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Spencer Horwitz hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Chaser 8%

+2%

Edge Painter 19%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

+0%

Weak Challenge 8%

Likely Ball 19%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

26% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 21% higher than the MLB average. Spencer Horwitz hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 26%

+21%

Extreme Slow Velo 23%

+18%

Large Break 22%

+18%

12.6% of Spencer Horwitz's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.7% lower than the league average. Aaron Nola strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Strikeout -4.7% +6.3% 4%

Walk +2.8% -2.8% 42%

In Play +1.9% -3.5% 39%

On Base +2.1% -4.8% 31%

Hit -0.7% -2.0% 14%

Single -0.9% -0.8% 13%

2B / 3B -0.5% -0.7% 3%

Home Run +0.8% -0.5%

38.3% of Spencer Horwitz's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.9% higher than the league average. Aaron Nola induces Standard Grounders at a 37.3% rate, which is 2.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.8% 0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder +3.9% +2.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.6% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer -0.1% -1.6% 9%

Rising Liner -2.9% +0.5% 4%

Maybe Homer -2.2% -0.3% 3%

Likely Homer -0.9% +0.1% 1%

No Doubter +1.5% +0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.5% -0.4% 3%

Pop up +0.5% -0.7%

22.4% of Spencer Horwitz's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.9% lower than the league average. 23.6% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.5% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.4% -0.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph 0.0% +2.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.8% -1.9% 24%

Above 100 mph -1.9% -0.7%

11.0% of Spencer Horwitz's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.4% lower than the league average. 10.9% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at this angle, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%