Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Spencer Horwitz

matchup for Shelby Miller

374th out of 436 (Worst 14%)

Shelby Miller

matchup for Spencer Horwitz

273rd out of 564 (Best 49%)

Strong advantage for Horwitz

Spencer Horwitz has a 32.1% chance of reaching base vs Shelby Miller, which is 0.8% lower than Horwitz's typical expectations, and 2.9% higher than batters facing Miller.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.1%	20.5%	4.6%	4.3%	11.5%	11.6%	24.2%
Horwitz	-0.8	-1.3	+1.3	-0.3	-2.2	+0.5	+1.7
Miller	+2.9	-0.6	+0.8	-0.7	-0.8	+3.6	-0.5

Spencer Horwitz is much better vs right-handed pitching. Shelby Miller is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Horwitz has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Shelby Miller throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Spencer Horwitz has a B+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

56%

Slider (R)

11%

Curve (R)

10%

Splitter (R)

Cutter (R)

14% of Shelby Miller's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Spencer Horwitz has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Non-Competitive 14%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Meatball 7%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Chaser 4%

-2%

Likely Ball 17%

-3%

27% of Shelby Miller's pitches are classified as High Ride, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Spencer Horwitz hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

High Ride 27%

+16%

Medium Fast Velo 28%

+13%

Medium Break 31%

+12%

Fastball (R) 64%

+10%

12.6% of Spencer Horwitz's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.7% lower than the league average. Shelby Miller strikes out 16.1% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Strikeout -4.7% +0.3% 4%

Walk +2.8% +0.8% 42%

In Play +1.9% -1.1% 39%

On Base +2.1% -4.9% 31%

Hit -0.7% -5.7% 14%

Single -0.9% -3.1% 13%

2B / 3B -0.5% -2.8% 3%

Home Run +0.8% +0.3%

38.3% of Spencer Horwitz's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.9% higher than the league average. Shelby Miller induces Standard Grounders at a 34.0% rate, which is 0.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.8% -0.6% 34%

Standard Grounder +3.9% -0.4% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.6% 0.0% 14%

Low Screamer -0.1% -2.8% 9%

Rising Liner -2.9% -0.2% 4%

Maybe Homer -2.2% -1.1% 3%

Likely Homer -0.9% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter +1.5% +0.6% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.5% +3.5% 3%

Pop up +0.5% +1.2%

22.4% of Spencer Horwitz's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.9% lower than the league average. 25.5% of batted balls allowed by Shelby Miller are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.5% -4.8% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.4% -1.3% 18%

87 to 93 mph 0.0% +2.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.8% +2.5% 24%

Above 100 mph -1.9% +1.2%

11.0% of Spencer Horwitz's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.4% lower than the league average. 10.1% of batted balls allowed by Shelby Miller are hit at this angle, which is 1.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%