Matchup Machine

Joey Ortiz

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matchup for Bryce Miller

193rd out of 436 (Best 45%)

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Bryce Miller

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matchup for Joey Ortiz

493rd out of 567 (Worst 13%)

Moderate advantage for Miller
5

Model Prediction

Joey Ortiz has a 28.8% chance of reaching base vs Bryce Miller, which is 2.2% lower than Ortiz's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Miller.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.8%20.0%1.6%3.9%14.5%8.9%26.6%
Ortiz-2.2-1.9-0.2-1.0-0.7-0.3+6.2
Miller-0.4-0.5-0.7-0.5+0.8+0.1-3.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Joey Ortiz is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Bryce Miller is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Ortiz has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Bryce Miller throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Joey Ortiz has a D+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Slider (R)
20%
   Sinker (R)
13%
   Splitter (R)
10%

Contact and Outcomes

12.5% of Joey Ortiz's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.5% lower than the league average. Bryce Miller strikes out 15.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -3.5% +0.2% 4%         Walk +1.4% -2.5% 39%         In Play +2.1% +2.3% 39%         On Base +1.5% -3.2% 31%         Hit +0.1% -0.7% 14%         Single +0.3% -0.8% 13%         2B / 3B +0.7% -0.4% 3%         Home Run -0.9% +0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years