Matchup Machine

Joey Ortiz

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matchup for Freddy Peralta

163rd out of 436 (Best 38%)

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Freddy Peralta

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matchup for Joey Ortiz

483rd out of 567 (Worst 15%)

Moderate advantage for Peralta
5

Model Prediction

Joey Ortiz has a 29.3% chance of reaching base vs Freddy Peralta, which is 1.7% lower than Ortiz's typical expectations, and 0.1% higher than batters facing Peralta.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.3%16.5%1.5%3.7%11.3%12.8%25.4%
Ortiz-1.7-5.3-0.2-1.2-3.9+3.6+5.0
Peralta-0.1-1.5-1.4-0.3+0.2+1.4-1.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Joey Ortiz is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Freddy Peralta is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Ortiz has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Freddy Peralta throws a 4-seam fastball 53% of the time. Joey Ortiz has a D+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
53%
   Slider (R)
22%
   Changeup (R)
14%
   Curve (R)
11%

Contact and Outcomes

12.5% of Joey Ortiz's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.5% lower than the league average. Freddy Peralta strikes out 21.5% of the batters he faces, which is 8.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -3.5% +8.8% 4%         Walk +1.4% +1.0% 39%         In Play +2.1% -9.8% 39%         On Base +1.5% -6.8% 31%         Hit +0.1% -7.8% 14%         Single +0.3% -3.9% 13%         2B / 3B +0.7% -3.6% 3%         Home Run -0.9% -0.3%

History

No History in the last 3 years