Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Joey Ortiz

matchup for Tyler Mahle

138th out of 436 (Best 32%)

Tyler Mahle

matchup for Joey Ortiz

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Mahle

Joey Ortiz has a 29.1% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Mahle, which is 1.9% lower than Ortiz's typical expectations, and 1.2% lower than batters facing Mahle.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.1%	20.8%	1.8%	4.7%	14.3%	8.3%	21.4%
Ortiz	-1.9	-1.0	+0.1	-0.2	-0.9	-0.9	+1.0
Mahle	-1.2	-0.2	-1.6	+0.5	+1.0	-1.1	-3.8

Joey Ortiz is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Tyler Mahle is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Ortiz has a D grade vs this particular release point.

Tyler Mahle throws a 4-seam fastball 55% of the time. Joey Ortiz has a D+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

55%

Slider (R)

19%

Splitter (R)

16%

Curve (R)

9% of Tyler Mahle's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Joey Ortiz hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 9%

+2%

Fringe Miss 14%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Chaser 6%

+0%

Mid Challenge 11%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

Non-Competitive 11%

-1%

Weak Challenge 4%

-4%

54% of Tyler Mahle's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 33% higher than the MLB average. Joey Ortiz has a D- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 54%

+33%

Medium Fast Velo 24%

+9%

Medium Ride 22%

+8%

12.5% of Joey Ortiz's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.5% lower than the league average. Tyler Mahle strikes out 23.6% of the batters he faces, which is 10.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -3.5% +10.2% 4%

Walk +1.4% -1.2% 39%

In Play +2.1% -9.0% 39%

On Base +1.5% -5.6% 31%

Hit +0.1% -4.3% 14%

Single +0.3% -1.6% 13%

2B / 3B +0.7% -1.4% 3%

Home Run -0.9% -1.4%

35.1% of Joey Ortiz's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.7% higher than the league average. Tyler Mahle induces Standard Grounders at a 32.1% rate, which is 2.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.3% 0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.7% -2.3% 7%

Hard Grounder +3.4% -2.1% 14%

Low Screamer +1.6% -0.6% 9%

Rising Liner -2.8% -0.2% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.8% +1.1% 3%

Likely Homer -1.5% +0.2% 1%

No Doubter -1.0% -0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout -3.0% +3.0% 3%

Pop up +3.1% +1.2%

21.6% of Joey Ortiz's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.7% lower than the league average. 21.4% of batted balls allowed by Tyler Mahle are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +7.9% -0.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.5% -0.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.7% +1.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.0% +3.0% 24%

Above 100 mph -2.7% -3.0%

7.1% of Joey Ortiz's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 4.3% lower than the league average. 14.3% of batted balls allowed by Tyler Mahle are hit at this angle, which is 2.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%