matchup for Pablo Lopez
1
Joey Ortiz has a 31.1% chance of reaching base vs Pablo Lopez, which is 0.4% higher than Ortiz's typical expectations, and 0.5% higher than batters facing Lopez.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 31.1% | 24.5% | 1.6% | 4.3% | 18.6% | 6.5% | 19.4% |
| Ortiz | -0.4 | +2.5 | -0.1 | -0.3 | +2.9 | -2.9 | -0.4 |
| Lopez | +0.5 | +0.9 | -0.9 | -0.3 | +2.0 | -0.4 | -6.2 |
Joey Ortiz is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Pablo Lopez is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Ortiz has a D grade vs this particular release point.
Pablo Lopez throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. Joey Ortiz has a D+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (R)
37%
Changeup (R)
25%
Slider (R)
13%
Curve (R)
10%
Sinker (R)
9%
8% of Pablo Lopez's pitches are classified as Chasers, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Joey Ortiz hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Chaser
8%
+2%
Mid Challenge
13%
+1%
Weak Challenge
9%
+1%
Fringe Miss
13%
+1%
Likely Ball
20%
+1%
Edge Painter
17%
+0%
Strong Challenge
5%
0%
Meatball
4%
-2%
Non-Competitive
9%
-4%
25% of Pablo Lopez's pitches are classified as Offspeed Pitches, which is 14% higher than the MLB average. Joey Ortiz hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Offspeed (R)
25%
+14%
Extreme Break
26%
+11%
Fast Velo
26%
+11%
12.5% of Joey Ortiz's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.5% lower than the league average. Pablo Lopez strikes out 18.6% of the batters he faces, which is 4.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Strikeout
-3.5%
+4.2%
4%
Walk
+1.4%
-2.5%
39%
In Play
+2.1%
-1.7%
39%
On Base
+1.5%
-1.8%
31%
Hit
+0.1%
+0.7%
14%
Single
+0.3%
+0.3%
13%
2B / 3B
+0.7%
+0.8%
3%
Home Run
-0.9%
-0.4%
35.1% of Joey Ortiz's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.7% higher than the league average. Pablo Lopez induces Standard Grounders at a 38.8% rate, which is 4.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
+1.3%
-0.2%
34%
Standard Grounder
+0.7%
+4.4%
7%
Hard Grounder
+3.4%
-1.4%
14%
Low Screamer
+1.6%
+1.3%
9%
Rising Liner
-2.8%
-0.9%
4%
Maybe Homer
-1.8%
-0.5%
3%
Likely Homer
-1.5%
-0.2%
1%
No Doubter
-1.0%
-0.6%
20%
Routine Flyout
-3.0%
-1.7%
3%
Pop up
+3.1%
-0.2%
21.6% of Joey Ortiz's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.7% lower than the league average. 23.0% of batted balls allowed by Pablo Lopez are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
+7.9%
+0.3%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-0.5%
+4.1%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-2.7%
-0.9%
19%
94 to 99 mph
-2.0%
-2.2%
24%
Above 100 mph
-2.7%
-1.3%
7.1% of Joey Ortiz's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 4.3% lower than the league average. 10.3% of batted balls allowed by Pablo Lopez are hit at this angle, which is 1.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
+4.7%
+3.0%
12%
-10 to 0°
-1.1%
+0.8%
8%
1 to 6°
+2.3%
-0.3%
18%
7 to 18°
-4.0%
-1.8%
15%
19 to 28°
-4.1%
+0.7%
11%
29 to 38°
-4.3%
-1.1%
7%
39 to 50°
+2.4%
-0.8%
8%
Above 50°
+4.1%
-0.5%
Joey Ortiz has 2 plate appearances against Pablo Lopez in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2.
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Expected From Contact → | 0.81 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.80 | 0.406 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2024-07-20 | Groundout | 79% | 20% | ||
| 2024-07-20 | Pop Out | 1% | 99% | ||
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
