Matchup Machine

      Joey Ortiz

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      matchup for Ranger Suarez

      121st out of 436 (Best 29%)

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      Ranger Suarez

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      matchup for Joey Ortiz

      279th out of 564 (Best 50%)

      Leans in favor of Ortiz
      2

      Model Prediction

      Joey Ortiz has a 31.9% chance of reaching base vs Ranger Suarez, which is 0.5% higher than Ortiz's typical expectations, and 2.2% lower than batters facing Suarez.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Joey Ortiz is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Ranger Suarez is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Ortiz doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Ranger Suarez throws a Sinker 33% of the time. Joey Ortiz hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
      33%
         4-Seam (L)
      21%
         Changeup (L)
      20%
         Curve (L)
      12%
         Cutter (L)
      8%

      Contact and Outcomes

      12.5% of Joey Ortiz's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.5% lower than the league average. Ranger Suarez strikes out 16.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -3.5% +0.1% 4%         Walk +1.4% -1.3% 39%         In Play +2.1% +1.1% 39%         On Base +1.0% +1.8% 31%         Hit -0.3% +3.0% 14%         Single +0.0% +1.8% 13%         2B / 3B +0.5% +2.1% 3%         Home Run -0.9% -0.9%

      History

      Joey Ortiz has 2 plate appearances against Ranger Suarez in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2.

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual220000000.000
      Expected From Contact →0.080.000.030.050.040
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2024-09-16Sac Fly3%5%92%
      2024-09-16Flyout100%

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.