Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Joey Ortiz

matchup for Joe Mantiply

101st out of 436 (Best 24%)

Joe Mantiply

matchup for Joey Ortiz

499th out of 567 (Worst 12%)

Strong advantage for Mantiply

Joey Ortiz has a 25.4% chance of reaching base vs Joe Mantiply, which is 5.6% lower than Ortiz's typical expectations, and 2.8% lower than batters facing Mantiply.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	25.4%	21.2%	1.3%	5.1%	14.7%	4.2%	17.8%
Ortiz	-5.6	-0.6	-0.4	+0.3	-0.5	-4.9	-2.6
Mantiply	-2.8	-1.8	-0.8	-0.3	-0.8	-0.9	-5.2

Joey Ortiz is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Joe Mantiply is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Ortiz doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Joe Mantiply throws a Sinker 42% of the time. Joey Ortiz hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (L)

42%

Curve (L)

29%

Changeup (L)

24%

14% of Joe Mantiply's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Joey Ortiz has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 14%

+5%

Chaser 9%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Fringe Miss 12%

Strong Challenge 5%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Mid Challenge 10%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

61% of Joe Mantiply's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 45% higher than the MLB average. Joey Ortiz has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Break 61%

+45%

Medium Drop 38%

+26%

Very Slow Velo 38%

+22%

Offspeed (L) 24%

+11%

12.5% of Joey Ortiz's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.5% lower than the league average. Joe Mantiply strikes out 16.1% of the batters he faces, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -3.5% +1.1% 4%

Walk +1.4% -3.1% 39%

In Play +2.1% +2.0% 39%

On Base +1.5% -2.8% 31%

Hit +0.1% +0.3% 14%

Single +0.3% +0.2% 13%

2B / 3B +0.7% +0.2% 3%

Home Run -0.9% -0.1%

35.1% of Joey Ortiz's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.7% higher than the league average. Joe Mantiply induces Standard Grounders at a 44.0% rate, which is 9.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.3% +3.3% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.7% +9.6% 7%

Hard Grounder +3.4% +0.2% 14%

Low Screamer +1.6% -4.8% 9%

Rising Liner -2.8% -1.4% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.8% +0.6% 3%

Likely Homer -1.5% -0.8% 1%

No Doubter -1.0% -0.6% 20%

Routine Flyout -3.0% -4.7% 3%

Pop up +3.1% -1.4%

21.6% of Joey Ortiz's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.7% lower than the league average. 21.6% of batted balls allowed by Joe Mantiply are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +7.9% +5.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.5% -1.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.7% -3.9% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.0% +2.7% 24%

Above 100 mph -2.7% -2.7%

7.1% of Joey Ortiz's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 4.3% lower than the league average. 9.5% of batted balls allowed by Joe Mantiply are hit at this angle, which is 2.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +4.7% +7.9% 12%

-10 to 0° -1.1% +3.7% 8%

1 to 6° +2.3% +1.1% 18%

7 to 18° -4.0% -1.6% 15%

19 to 28° -4.1% -2.5% 11%

29 to 38° -4.3% -2.0% 7%

39 to 50° +2.4% -2.1% 8%

Above 50° +4.1% -4.5%

Joey Ortiz has 2 plate appearances against Joe Mantiply in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with a strikeout.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.22	0.00	0.01	0.20			0.109

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-09-22	Groundout		1%	20%	78%
2024-09-13	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine Log InSubscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe