Matchup Machine

      Victor Scott II

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      matchup for Brandon Pfaadt

      152nd out of 436 (Best 36%)

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      Brandon Pfaadt

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      matchup for Victor Scott II

      206th out of 564 (Best 37%)

      Leans in favor of Pfaadt
      1

      Model Prediction

      Victor Scott II has a 30.2% chance of reaching base vs Brandon Pfaadt, which is 1.5% higher than Scott II's typical expectations, and 2.2% lower than batters facing Pfaadt.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Victor Scott II hasn't faced much right-handed pitching. Brandon Pfaadt is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Scott II does't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Brandon Pfaadt throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Victor Scott II hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
      38%
         Slider (R)
      27%
         Sinker (R)
      18%
         Changeup (R)
      12%
         Curve (R)
      5%

      Contact and Outcomes

      22.3% of Victor Scott II's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.5% higher than the league average. Brandon Pfaadt strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 1.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 19%         Strikeout +2.5% +1.3% 7%         Walk -3.7% -2.4% 55%         In Play +1.2% +1.1% 39%         On Base -6.1% -0.1% 31%         Hit -2.5% +2.3% 14%         Single -1.2% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B -0.8% +0.9% 3%         Home Run -0.5% +1.0%

      History

      Victor Scott II has 2 plate appearances against Brandon Pfaadt in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a double and

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual221010000.500
      Expected From Contact →0.630.260.360.010.315
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2024-04-12Double8%31%61%
      2024-04-12Flyout18%6%76%

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.