Matchup Machine

Victor Scott II

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matchup for Aaron Civale

68th out of 436 (Best 16%)

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Aaron Civale

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matchup for Victor Scott II

383rd out of 567 (Worst 33%)

Moderate advantage for Civale
5

Model Prediction

Victor Scott II has a 26.8% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Civale, which is 1.8% lower than Scott II's typical expectations, and 2.7% lower than batters facing Civale.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction26.8%19.6%2.5%3.5%13.6%7.1%23.0%
Scott II-1.8-1.2+0.1-0.8-0.5-0.6-1.6
Civale-2.7-1.8-0.6-0.8-0.4-0.8+1.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Victor Scott II hasn't faced much right-handed pitching. Aaron Civale is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Scott II doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Aaron Civale throws a Cutter 32% of the time. Victor Scott II hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Cutter (R)
32%
   Sinker (R)
21%
   Curve (R)
20%
   4-Seam (R)
11%
   Slider (R)
10%

Contact and Outcomes

23.3% of Victor Scott II's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.7% higher than the league average. Aaron Civale strikes out 16.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 19%         Strikeout +3.7% +0.4% 7%         Walk -4.3% -1.3% 55%         In Play +0.7% +1.0% 39%         On Base -8.1% -0.9% 31%         Hit -3.7% +0.5% 14%         Single -1.9% 0.0% 13%         2B / 3B -1.5% +0.3% 3%         Home Run -0.3% +0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years