Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Victor Scott II

matchup for Pablo Lopez

77th out of 436 (Best 18%)

Pablo Lopez

matchup for Victor Scott II

236th out of 567 (Best 42%)

Moderate advantage for Lopez

Victor Scott II has a 28.2% chance of reaching base vs Pablo Lopez, which is 1.0% higher than Scott II's typical expectations, and 3.0% lower than batters facing Lopez.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	28.2%	22.1%	2.6%	4.6%	14.9%	6.1%	28.9%
Scott II	+1.0	+2.1	+0.1	+0.4	+1.7	-1.1	+0.4
Lopez	-3.0	-1.7	-0.3	-0.3	-1.1	-1.3	+1.9

Victor Scott II hasn't faced much right-handed pitching. Pablo Lopez is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Scott II does't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Pablo Lopez throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. Victor Scott II hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

37%

Changeup (R)

25%

Slider (R)

13%

Curve (R)

10%

Sinker (R)

8% of Pablo Lopez's pitches are classified as Chasers, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Victor Scott II hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Chaser 8%

+2%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Weak Challenge 9%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

Meatball 4%

-2%

Non-Competitive 8%

-4%

25% of Pablo Lopez's pitches are classified as Offspeed Pitches, which is 14% higher than the MLB average. Victor Scott II hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Offspeed (R) 25%

+14%

Extreme Break 26%

+11%

Fast Velo 26%

+11%

23.5% of Victor Scott II's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.7% higher than the league average. Pablo Lopez strikes out 18.7% of the batters he faces, which is 4.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

19%

Strikeout +3.7% +4.2% 7%

Walk -4.0% -2.5% 56%

In Play +0.3% -1.7% 39%

On Base -9.3% -2.2% 31%

Hit -5.3% +0.3% 14%

Single -2.4% +0.4% 13%

2B / 3B -2.0% +0.2% 3%

Home Run -0.9% -0.3%

30.2% of Victor Scott II's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 4.3% lower than the league average. Pablo Lopez induces Standard Grounders at a 38.2% rate, which is 3.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.3% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder -4.3% +3.7% 7%

Hard Grounder -4.0% -1.4% 14%

Low Screamer -3.6% +1.5% 9%

Rising Liner +2.4% -0.8% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.1% -0.9% 3%

Likely Homer -3.6% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% -0.6% 20%

Routine Flyout +4.0% -0.9% 3%

Pop up +7.7% -0.5%

24.7% of Victor Scott II's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.4% higher than the league average. 22.1% of batted balls allowed by Pablo Lopez are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +10.0% +0.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph -11.7% +3.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph +13.4% -0.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph -12.1% -1.6% 24%

Above 100 mph +0.4% -2.2%

5.3% of Victor Scott II's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 6.1% lower than the league average. 10.5% of batted balls allowed by Pablo Lopez are hit at this angle, which is 0.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +3.2% +2.9% 12%

-10 to 0° -8.6% +0.7% 8%

1 to 6° -4.9% -1.1% 18%

7 to 18° +6.5% -1.0% 15%

19 to 28° +5.2% +0.1% 11%

29 to 38° -6.1% -0.9% 7%

39 to 50° -2.3% +0.0% 8%

Above 50° +7.1% -0.7%

Victor Scott II has 4 plate appearances against Pablo Lopez in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3 with a double and a walk

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	4	3	1	0	1	0	1	1	0.333
Expected From Contact →			0.08	0.00	0.02	0.06			0.026

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2025-03-27	Strikeout
2025-03-27	Pop Out
2024-08-24	Walk
2024-08-24	Double		2%	6%	92%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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