Matchup Machine

Zach Neto

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matchup for Roki Sasaki

282nd out of 436 (Worst 36%)

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Roki Sasaki

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matchup for Zach Neto

out of 567 (Worst %)

Extreme advantage for Neto
9

Model Prediction

Zach Neto has a 37.0% chance of reaching base vs Roki Sasaki, which is 6.9% higher than Neto's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Sasaki.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction37.0%21.6%3.8%6.2%11.6%15.4%23.7%
Neto+6.9-0.2+0.7+1.2-2.2+7.2-1.5
Sasaki-0.2-1.1+0.80.0-1.8+0.9+1.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Zach Neto is worse vs right-handed pitching. Roki Sasaki is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Neto has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Roki Sasaki throws a 4-seam fastball 60% of the time. Zach Neto has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
60%
   Splitter (R)
26%
   Slider (R)
15%

Contact and Outcomes

14.1% of Zach Neto's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.9% lower than the league average. Roki Sasaki strikes out 19.4% of the batters he faces, which is 4.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout -0.9% -4.7% 5%         Walk -1.0% +27.6% 39%         In Play +1.9% -23.0% 39%         On Base -3.4% +14.9% 31%         Hit -2.4% -12.8% 14%         Single -2.3% -3.0% 13%         2B / 3B -1.9% -6.7% 3%         Home Run +1.8% -3.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years