Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Zach Neto

matchup for C. Hernandez

150th out of 436 (Best 35%)

Carlos Hernandez

matchup for Zach Neto

260th out of 567 (Best 47%)

Leans in favor of Neto

Zach Neto has a 30.2% chance of reaching base vs Carlos Hernandez, which is 0.2% higher than Neto's typical expectations, and 2.0% lower than batters facing Hernandez.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.2%	20.6%	3.5%	5.9%	11.2%	9.6%	26.2%
Neto	+0.2	-1.2	+0.4	+0.9	-2.5	+1.3	+1.0
Hernandez	-2.0	-0.9	+0.4	+0.1	-1.4	-1.2	+2.3

Zach Neto is worse vs right-handed pitching. Carlos Hernandez is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Neto has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

Carlos Hernandez throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Zach Neto has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

49%

Slider (R)

19%

Curve (R)

Kn-Curve (R)

Splitter (R)

Sinker (R)

14% of Carlos Hernandez's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Zach Neto has a B+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 14%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Likely Ball 19%

+0%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Edge Painter 16%

-1%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Meatball 4%

-2%

26% of Carlos Hernandez's pitches are classified as Extreme Fast Velocity, which is 23% higher than the MLB average. Zach Neto hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Fast Velo 26%

+23%

Medium Break 38%

+19%

High Ride 25%

+15%

14.1% of Zach Neto's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.9% lower than the league average. Carlos Hernandez strikes out 14.5% of the batters he faces, which is 1.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout -0.9% -1.8% 5%

Walk -1.0% +2.0% 39%

In Play +1.9% -0.2% 39%

On Base -3.4% +0.9% 31%

Hit -2.4% -1.1% 14%

Single -2.3% -1.1% 13%

2B / 3B -1.9% -0.7% 3%

Home Run +1.8% +0.6%

35.0% of Zach Neto's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.6% higher than the league average. Carlos Hernandez induces Standard Grounders at a 27.5% rate, which is 6.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.1% +0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.6% -6.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.6% -1.3% 14%

Low Screamer -5.4% -2.9% 9%

Rising Liner +0.0% +1.2% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.0% +2.8% 3%

Likely Homer +1.7% +0.7% 1%

No Doubter +1.2% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.0% +4.2% 3%

Pop up +0.1% +2.7%

26.9% of Zach Neto's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.6% higher than the league average. 23.4% of batted balls allowed by Carlos Hernandez are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.6% -4.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.0% -0.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.8% +1.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.6% +3.3% 24%

Above 100 mph +2.6% -0.9%

13.8% of Zach Neto's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.4% higher than the league average. 11.9% of batted balls allowed by Carlos Hernandez are hit at this angle, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +0.9% -6.5% 12%

-10 to 0° -1.7% +0.4% 8%

1 to 6° +1.5% -2.5% 18%

7 to 18° -1.2% -0.3% 15%

19 to 28° -2.9% +1.1% 11%

29 to 38° +2.4% +0.4% 7%

39 to 50° +0.2% +2.0% 8%

Above 50° +0.9% +5.4%

Zach Neto has 1 plate appearance against Carlos Hernandez in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 1.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	1	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	1.000
Expected From Contact →			0.77	0.00	0.01	0.76			0.774

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-04-22	Single			76%	23%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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