Matchup Machine

Zach Neto

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matchup for Jack Flaherty

168th out of 436 (Best 39%)

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Jack Flaherty

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matchup for Zach Neto

156th out of 567 (Best 28%)

Moderate advantage for Neto
5

Model Prediction

Zach Neto has a 32.0% chance of reaching base vs Jack Flaherty, which is 2.0% higher than Neto's typical expectations, and 2.2% lower than batters facing Flaherty.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.0%22.4%3.8%5.0%13.7%9.6%24.0%
Neto+2.0+0.6+0.70.0-0.1+1.4-1.3
Flaherty-2.2-0.8+0.2-0.2-0.9-1.4+1.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Zach Neto is worse vs right-handed pitching. Jack Flaherty is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Neto has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jack Flaherty throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Zach Neto has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
44%
   Slider (R)
27%
   Kn-Curve (R)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

14.1% of Zach Neto's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.9% lower than the league average. Jack Flaherty strikes out 20.5% of the batters he faces, which is 5.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout -0.9% +5.8% 5%         Walk -1.0% -1.5% 39%         In Play +1.9% -4.3% 39%         On Base -3.4% -2.0% 31%         Hit -2.4% -0.5% 14%         Single -2.3% +0.0% 13%         2B / 3B -1.9% -0.3% 3%         Home Run +1.8% -0.2%

History

Zach Neto has 5 plate appearances against Jack Flaherty in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 4 with a double and a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual541010210.250
Expected From Contact →0.840.000.580.260.211
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-06-27Strikeout
2024-06-27Walk
2024-06-27Double58%14%28%
2023-05-04Groundout13%87%
2023-05-04Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.