Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Zach Neto

matchup for Aaron Nola

156th out of 436 (Best 37%)

Aaron Nola

matchup for Zach Neto

445th out of 567 (Worst 22%)

Moderate advantage for Nola

Zach Neto has a 27.4% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Nola, which is 2.6% lower than Neto's typical expectations, and 2.0% lower than batters facing Nola.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	27.4%	22.1%	3.2%	5.6%	13.3%	5.4%	32.5%
Neto	-2.6	+0.3	+0.1	+0.6	-0.5	-2.9	+7.3
Nola	-2.0	-0.3	+0.2	-0.6	+0.1	-1.7	+1.6

Zach Neto is worse vs right-handed pitching. Aaron Nola is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Neto has a D- grade vs this particular release point.

Aaron Nola throws a Kn-Curve 30% of the time. Zach Neto hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Kn-Curve (R)

30%

4-Seam (R)

30%

Sinker (R)

20%

Changeup (R)

12%

Cutter (R)

8% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Chasers, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Zach Neto hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Chaser 8%

+2%

Edge Painter 19%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

+0%

Weak Challenge 8%

Likely Ball 19%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

26% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 21% higher than the MLB average. Zach Neto hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 26%

+21%

Extreme Slow Velo 23%

+18%

Large Break 22%

+18%

14.1% of Zach Neto's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.9% lower than the league average. Aaron Nola strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout -0.9% +6.3% 5%

Walk -1.0% -2.8% 39%

In Play +1.9% -3.5% 39%

On Base -3.4% -4.8% 31%

Hit -2.4% -2.0% 14%

Single -2.3% -0.8% 13%

2B / 3B -1.9% -0.7% 3%

Home Run +1.8% -0.5%

35.0% of Zach Neto's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.6% higher than the league average. Aaron Nola induces Standard Grounders at a 37.3% rate, which is 2.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.1% 0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.6% +2.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.6% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer -5.4% -1.6% 9%

Rising Liner +0.0% +0.5% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.0% -0.3% 3%

Likely Homer +1.7% +0.1% 1%

No Doubter +1.2% +0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.0% -0.4% 3%

Pop up +0.1% -0.7%

26.9% of Zach Neto's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.6% higher than the league average. 23.6% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.6% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.0% -0.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.8% +2.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.6% -1.9% 24%

Above 100 mph +2.6% -0.7%

13.8% of Zach Neto's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.4% higher than the league average. 10.9% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at this angle, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%