Matchup Machine

Zach Neto

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matchup for Wade Miley

311st out of 436 (Worst 29%)

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Wade Miley

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matchup for Zach Neto

out of 567 (Worst %)

Extreme advantage for Neto
9

Model Prediction

Zach Neto has a 36.7% chance of reaching base vs Wade Miley, which is 6.6% higher than Neto's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Miley.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction36.7%27.4%3.7%4.8%18.9%9.3%18.6%
Neto+6.6+5.6+0.7-0.2+5.2+1.0-6.6
Miley+0.2+0.6+0.8-0.1-0.1-0.4+0.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Zach Neto is better vs left-handed pitching. Wade Miley is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Neto doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Wade Miley throws a Cutter 44% of the time. Zach Neto hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Cutter (L)
44%
   Changeup (L)
23%
   4-Seam (L)
16%
   Curve (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

14.1% of Zach Neto's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.9% lower than the league average. Wade Miley strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout -0.9% -1.5% 5%         Walk -1.0% +0.0% 39%         In Play +1.9% +1.5% 39%         On Base -3.4% -0.5% 31%         Hit -2.4% -0.5% 14%         Single -2.3% +0.2% 13%         2B / 3B -1.9% +0.5% 3%         Home Run +1.8% -1.2%

History

Zach Neto has 2 plate appearances against Wade Miley in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 2.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual222002001.000
Expected From Contact →1.840.000.251.590.919
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-04-28Single90%9%
2023-04-28Single24%69%7%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.