Matchup Machine

Darell Hernaiz

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matchup for Jared Jones

37th out of 436 (Best 9%)

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Jared Jones

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matchup for Darell Hernaiz

484th out of 567 (Worst 15%)

Strong advantage for Jones
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Model Prediction

Darell Hernaiz has a 27.2% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 2.8% lower than Hernaiz's typical expectations, and 3.9% lower than batters facing Jones.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction27.2%18.0%1.5%4.2%12.3%9.2%28.7%
Hernaiz-2.8-3.2-0.1-0.3-2.9+0.5+5.8
Jones-3.9-2.8-1.5-0.9-0.5-1.1+0.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Darell Hernaiz is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Hernaiz doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Darell Hernaiz hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Slider (R)
35%
   Curve (R)
9%
   Changeup (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

17.3% of Darell Hernaiz's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% lower than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 21%         Strikeout -4.3% +0.4% 6%         Walk +0.4% +0.6% 56%         In Play +3.9% -1.1% 39%         On Base +5.4% -0.1% 31%         Hit +5.0% -0.8% 14%         Single +3.5% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B +3.9% -0.5% 3%         Home Run -2.4% +0.9%

History

No History in the last 3 years