Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Darell Hernaiz

matchup for Ryne Nelson

67th out of 436 (Best 16%)

Ryne Nelson

matchup for Darell Hernaiz

434th out of 567 (Worst 24%)

Strong advantage for Nelson

Darell Hernaiz has a 27.9% chance of reaching base vs Ryne Nelson, which is 2.0% lower than Hernaiz's typical expectations, and 2.2% lower than batters facing Nelson.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	27.9%	20.8%	1.2%	4.4%	15.2%	7.1%	25.7%
Hernaiz	-2.0	-0.4	-0.3	0.0	0.0	-1.6	+2.8
Nelson	-2.2	-2.6	-1.5	-0.5	-0.7	+0.5	-0.5

Darell Hernaiz is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Ryne Nelson is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Hernaiz doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Ryne Nelson throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Darell Hernaiz hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

56%

Cutter (R)

15%

Slider (R)

11%

Changeup (R)

11%

Curve (R)

15% of Ryne Nelson's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Darell Hernaiz hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 15%

+4%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Meatball 6%

+0%

Fringe Miss 12%

Likely Ball 19%

-1%

Weak Challenge 7%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 9%

-3%

29% of Ryne Nelson's pitches are classified as High Ride, which is 19% higher than the MLB average. Darell Hernaiz hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

High Ride 29%

+19%

Fastball (R) 72%

+18%

Small Break 25%

+16%

Fast Velo 29%

+14%

17.3% of Darell Hernaiz's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% lower than the league average. Ryne Nelson strikes out 13.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

21%

Strikeout -4.3% -2.9% 6%

Walk +0.4% -2.2% 56%

In Play +3.9% +5.1% 39%

On Base +5.4% +0.3% 31%

Hit +5.0% +2.5% 14%

Single +3.5% +1.0% 13%

2B / 3B +3.9% +1.5% 3%

Home Run -2.4% +0.1%

42.7% of Darell Hernaiz's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 8.3% higher than the league average. Ryne Nelson induces Standard Grounders at a 35.6% rate, which is 1.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.8% -0.5% 34%

Standard Grounder +8.3% +1.2% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.6% -2.5% 14%

Low Screamer +13.8% +1.0% 9%

Rising Liner -5.9% +2.8% 4%

Maybe Homer -4.3% -1.1% 3%

Likely Homer -3.6% -1.0% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% -0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -4.6% +0.8% 3%

Pop up -3.4% -0.5%

16.1% of Darell Hernaiz's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 8.2% lower than the league average. 29.1% of batted balls allowed by Ryne Nelson are hit at above 100 mph, which is 4.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.4% -1.2% 21%

75 to 86 mph -5.7% -2.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph +10.2% +0.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph +3.2% -2.0% 24%

Above 100 mph -8.2% +4.8%

12.7% of Darell Hernaiz's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.2% higher than the league average. 10.5% of batted balls allowed by Ryne Nelson are hit at this angle, which is 0.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%