Matchup Machine

Darell Hernaiz

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matchup for Felix Bautista

132nd out of 436 (Best 31%)

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Felix Bautista

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matchup for Darell Hernaiz

out of 567 (Worst %)

Strong advantage for Bautista
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Model Prediction

Darell Hernaiz has a 28.2% chance of reaching base vs Felix Bautista, which is 1.7% lower than Hernaiz's typical expectations, and 0.8% lower than batters facing Bautista.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.2%15.8%1.2%2.7%11.9%12.4%34.1%
Hernaiz-1.7-5.4-0.4-1.8-3.3+3.7+11.2
Bautista-0.8-0.6-1.4-0.3+1.1-0.2-1.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Darell Hernaiz is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Felix Bautista is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Hernaiz doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Felix Bautista throws a 4-seam fastball 65% of the time. Darell Hernaiz hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
65%
   Splitter (R)
25%
   Slider (R)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

17.3% of Darell Hernaiz's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% lower than the league average. Felix Bautista strikes out 25.5% of the batters he faces, which is 19.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 21%         Strikeout -4.3% +19.3% 6%         Walk +0.4% +2.3% 56%         In Play +3.9% -21.6% 39%         On Base +5.4% -10.2% 31%         Hit +5.0% -12.5% 14%         Single +3.5% -5.8% 13%         2B / 3B +3.9% -5.4% 3%         Home Run -2.4% -1.3%

History

No History in the last 3 years