Matchup Machine

Darell Hernaiz

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matchup for John Means

109th out of 436 (Best 26%)

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John Means

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matchup for Darell Hernaiz

144th out of 567 (Best 26%)

Leans in favor of Hernaiz
2

Model Prediction

Darell Hernaiz has a 29.9% chance of reaching base vs John Means, which is 0.1% higher than Hernaiz's typical expectations, and 1.1% lower than batters facing Means.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.9%23.6%1.9%6.5%15.1%6.3%18.5%
Hernaiz-0.1+2.4+0.4+2.1-0.1-2.5-4.4
Means-1.1-0.4-1.40.0+1.0-0.6-2.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Darell Hernaiz is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. John Means is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Hernaiz doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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John Means throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Darell Hernaiz hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
49%
   Changeup (L)
28%
   Slider (L)
12%
   Curve (L)
11%

Contact and Outcomes

17.3% of Darell Hernaiz's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% lower than the league average. John Means strikes out 14.7% of the batters he faces, which is 0.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 21%         Strikeout -4.3% -0.2% 6%         Walk +0.4% -2.7% 56%         In Play +3.9% +2.9% 39%         On Base +5.4% -4.8% 31%         Hit +5.0% -2.0% 14%         Single +3.5% -1.5% 13%         2B / 3B +3.9% -1.1% 3%         Home Run -2.4% +0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years