Matchup Machine

Darell Hernaiz

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matchup for Marcus Stroman

77th out of 436 (Best 18%)

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Marcus Stroman

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matchup for Darell Hernaiz

30th out of 567 (Best 6%)

Strong advantage for Hernaiz
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Model Prediction

Darell Hernaiz has a 36.5% chance of reaching base vs Marcus Stroman, which is 6.5% higher than Hernaiz's typical expectations, and 1.1% lower than batters facing Stroman.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction36.5%28.1%1.3%4.7%22.2%8.4%16.5%
Hernaiz+6.5+6.9-0.2+0.2+6.9-0.4-6.4
Stroman-1.1-0.7-1.4-1.2+1.9-0.4-1.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Darell Hernaiz is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Marcus Stroman is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Hernaiz doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Marcus Stroman throws a Sinker 40% of the time. Darell Hernaiz hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
40%
   Slider (R)
18%
   Cutter (R)
15%
   Splitter (R)
11%
   Curve (R)
10%
   4-Seam (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

17.3% of Darell Hernaiz's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% lower than the league average. Marcus Stroman strikes out 13.5% of the batters he faces, which is 3.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 21%         Strikeout -4.3% -3.1% 6%         Walk +0.4% -0.8% 56%         In Play +3.9% +3.9% 39%         On Base +5.4% +3.0% 31%         Hit +5.0% +3.8% 14%         Single +3.5% +2.4% 13%         2B / 3B +3.9% +2.4% 3%         Home Run -2.4% -1.1%

History

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