Matchup Machine

Darell Hernaiz

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matchup for Jordan Lyles

47th out of 436 (Best 12%)

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Jordan Lyles

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matchup for Darell Hernaiz

out of 567 (Worst %)

Leans in favor of Hernaiz
2

Model Prediction

Darell Hernaiz has a 31.7% chance of reaching base vs Jordan Lyles, which is 1.7% higher than Hernaiz's typical expectations, and 2.0% lower than batters facing Lyles.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.7%22.8%1.6%4.7%16.6%8.8%15.4%
Hernaiz+1.7+1.6+0.0+0.2+1.4+0.1-7.6
Lyles-2.0-1.4-1.8-1.2+1.6-0.6-2.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Darell Hernaiz is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Jordan Lyles is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Hernaiz doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jordan Lyles throws a 4-seam fastball 35% of the time. Darell Hernaiz hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
35%
   Slider (R)
23%
   Curve (R)
17%
   Sinker (R)
12%
   Changeup (R)
10%

Contact and Outcomes

17.3% of Darell Hernaiz's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% lower than the league average. Jordan Lyles strikes out 15.7% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 21%         Strikeout -4.3% +0.8% 6%         Walk +0.4% -2.3% 56%         In Play +3.9% +1.5% 39%         On Base +5.4% -4.1% 31%         Hit +5.0% -1.7% 14%         Single +3.5% -1.0% 13%         2B / 3B +3.9% -0.7% 3%         Home Run -2.4% -0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years