Matchup Machine

Drake Baldwin

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matchup for Louie Varland

out of 436 (Worst %)

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Louie Varland

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matchup for Drake Baldwin

70th out of 567 (Best 13%)

Moderate advantage for Varland
3

Model Prediction

Drake Baldwin has a 29.8% chance of reaching base vs Louie Varland, which is 3.9% higher than Baldwin's typical expectations, and 4.9% lower than batters facing Varland.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.8%22.4%2.6%3.7%16.1%7.4%28.5%
Baldwin+3.9+4.3+0.5+0.0+3.8-0.5-3.6
Varland-4.9-4.5-0.3-2.3-1.9-0.5+5.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Drake Baldwin hasn't faced much right-handed pitching. Louie Varland is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Baldwin does't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Louie Varland throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Drake Baldwin hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
44%
   Cutter (R)
26%
   Changeup (R)
11%
   Slider (R)
10%

Contact and Outcomes

24.6% of Drake Baldwin's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.3% higher than the league average. Louie Varland strikes out 17.2% of the batters he faces, which is 0.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 24%         Strikeout +0.3% +0.9% 7%         Walk +0.0% -1.6% 66%         In Play -0.3% +0.7% 39%         On Base +17.8% +3.9% 31%         Hit +17.8% +5.5% 14%         Single +7.8% +2.6% 13%         2B / 3B +8.2% +3.0% 3%         Home Run +1.8% 0.0%

History

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