Matchup Machine

Drake Baldwin

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matchup for Jared Jones

out of 436 (Worst %)

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Jared Jones

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matchup for Drake Baldwin

345th out of 567 (Worst 39%)

Strong advantage for Jones
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Model Prediction

Drake Baldwin has a 27.2% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 1.2% higher than Baldwin's typical expectations, and 3.9% lower than batters facing Jones.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction27.2%16.9%1.9%3.5%11.4%10.3%37.9%
Baldwin+1.2-1.2-0.3-0.1-0.8+2.4+5.7
Jones-3.9-4.0-1.0-1.5-1.4+0.1+9.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Drake Baldwin hasn't faced much right-handed pitching. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Baldwin doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Drake Baldwin hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Slider (R)
35%
   Curve (R)
9%
   Changeup (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

24.6% of Drake Baldwin's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.3% higher than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 24%         Strikeout +0.3% +0.4% 7%         Walk +0.0% +0.6% 66%         In Play -0.3% -1.1% 39%         On Base +17.8% -0.1% 31%         Hit +17.8% -0.8% 14%         Single +7.8% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B +8.2% -0.5% 3%         Home Run +1.8% +0.9%

History

No History in the last 3 years