Matchup Machine

Drake Baldwin

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matchup for Jhoan Duran

out of 436 (Worst %)

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Jhoan Duran

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matchup for Drake Baldwin

509th out of 567 (Worst 10%)

Extreme advantage for Duran
10

Model Prediction

Drake Baldwin has a 23.8% chance of reaching base vs Jhoan Duran, which is 2.1% lower than Baldwin's typical expectations, and 4.6% lower than batters facing Duran.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction23.8%14.8%1.3%2.3%11.2%9.0%38.5%
Baldwin-2.1-3.2-0.9-1.3-1.0+1.1+6.4
Duran-4.6-3.9-0.6-0.9-2.4-0.7+6.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Drake Baldwin hasn't faced much right-handed pitching. Jhoan Duran is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Baldwin doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jhoan Duran throws a 4-seam fastball 45% of the time. Drake Baldwin hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
45%
   Curve (R)
29%

Contact and Outcomes

24.6% of Drake Baldwin's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.3% higher than the league average. Jhoan Duran strikes out 21.1% of the batters he faces, which is 9.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 24%         Strikeout +0.3% +9.3% 7%         Walk +0.0% -1.6% 66%         In Play -0.3% -7.7% 39%         On Base +17.8% -2.9% 31%         Hit +17.8% -1.4% 14%         Single +7.8% +0.2% 13%         2B / 3B +8.2% +0.6% 3%         Home Run +1.8% -2.1%

History

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