Matchup Machine

Drake Baldwin

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matchup for Michael King

out of 436 (Worst %)

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Michael King

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matchup for Drake Baldwin

299th out of 567 (Worst 47%)

Extreme advantage for King
9

Model Prediction

Drake Baldwin has a 25.7% chance of reaching base vs Michael King, which is 1.2% higher than Baldwin's typical expectations, and 4.9% lower than batters facing King.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction25.7%17.7%1.8%3.5%12.4%8.0%38.5%
Baldwin+1.2+0.1-0.2+0.0+0.3+1.1+3.8
King-4.9-3.1-0.7-0.8-1.6-1.8+9.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Drake Baldwin hasn't faced much right-handed pitching. Michael King is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Baldwin doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Michael King throws a Sinker 37% of the time. Drake Baldwin hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
37%
   Slider (R)
20%
   4-Seam (R)
20%
   Changeup (R)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

25.0% of Drake Baldwin's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.4% higher than the league average. Michael King strikes out 18.7% of the batters he faces, which is 4.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 24%         Strikeout +0.4% +4.7% 8%         Walk +17.0% +0.1% 67%         In Play -17.4% -4.8% 39%         On Base -14.1% -2.2% 31%         Hit -31.1% -2.3% 14%         Single -14.2% -0.5% 13%         2B / 3B -13.8% -1.4% 3%         Home Run -3.1% -0.4%

History

Drake Baldwin has 2 plate appearances against Michael King in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual210000110.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2025-03-27Walk
2025-03-27Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.