Matchup Machine

Drake Baldwin

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matchup for Griffin Jax

out of 436 (Worst %)

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Griffin Jax

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matchup for Drake Baldwin

559th out of 567 (Worst 2%)

Extreme advantage for Jax
10

Model Prediction

Drake Baldwin has a 19.5% chance of reaching base vs Griffin Jax, which is 6.5% lower than Baldwin's typical expectations, and 3.6% lower than batters facing Jax.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction19.5%13.8%1.7%2.5%9.6%5.7%42.4%
Baldwin-6.5-4.2-0.4-1.1-2.7-2.2+10.3
Jax-3.6-3.1-0.5-1.0-1.6-0.5+6.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Drake Baldwin hasn't faced much right-handed pitching. Griffin Jax is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Baldwin doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Griffin Jax throws a Slider 42% of the time. Drake Baldwin hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
42%
   4-Seam (R)
35%
   Changeup (R)
13%

Contact and Outcomes

24.6% of Drake Baldwin's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.3% higher than the league average. Griffin Jax strikes out 22.4% of the batters he faces, which is 11.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 24%         Strikeout +0.3% +11.6% 7%         Walk +0.0% -2.9% 66%         In Play -0.3% -8.8% 39%         On Base +17.8% -7.2% 31%         Hit +17.8% -4.3% 14%         Single +7.8% -2.7% 13%         2B / 3B +8.2% -2.3% 3%         Home Run +1.8% +0.6%

History

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