Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Drake Baldwin

matchup for Seth Lugo

out of 436 (Worst %)

Seth Lugo

matchup for Drake Baldwin

389th out of 567 (Worst 32%)

Extreme advantage for Lugo

Drake Baldwin has a 25.3% chance of reaching base vs Seth Lugo, which is 0.7% lower than Baldwin's typical expectations, and 7.2% lower than batters facing Lugo.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	25.3%	18.2%	1.8%	3.9%	12.6%	7.0%	36.0%
Baldwin	-0.7	+0.2	-0.4	+0.3	+0.3	-0.9	+3.9
Lugo	-7.2	-5.7	-1.3	-1.1	-3.3	-1.5	+11.2

Drake Baldwin hasn't faced much right-handed pitching. Seth Lugo is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Baldwin doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Seth Lugo throws a 4-seam fastball 29% of the time. Drake Baldwin hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

29%

Curve (R)

28%

Sinker (R)

17%

Slider (R)

13%

Changeup (R)

10% of Seth Lugo's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Drake Baldwin hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 10%

+2%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

25% of Seth Lugo's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Drake Baldwin hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 25%

+20%

Large Break 18%

+13%

Extreme Slow Velo 16%

+11%

Breaking (R) 41%

+10%

24.6% of Drake Baldwin's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.3% higher than the league average. Seth Lugo strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

24%

Strikeout +0.3% +0.8% 7%

Walk +0.0% -2.3% 66%

In Play -0.3% +1.4% 39%

On Base +17.8% -0.4% 31%

Hit +17.8% +1.9% 14%

Single +7.8% +0.7% 13%

2B / 3B +8.2% +1.1% 3%

Home Run +1.8% +0.1%

33.7% of Drake Baldwin's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.7% lower than the league average. Seth Lugo induces Standard Grounders at a 36.3% rate, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.8% +1.4% 34%

Standard Grounder -0.7% +1.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +3.5% -1.6% 14%

Low Screamer -15.0% +0.5% 9%

Rising Liner -9.6% -1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +28.9% -0.5% 3%

Likely Homer -3.6% +2.1% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.8% -0.1% 3%

Pop up -3.4% -2.2%

44.4% of Drake Baldwin's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 20.1% higher than the league average. 22.7% of batted balls allowed by Seth Lugo are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -16.2% +1.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph -10.0% +0.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph -18.9% -1.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph +25.0% +0.8% 24%

Above 100 mph +20.1% -1.6%

33.1% of Drake Baldwin's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 21.7% higher than the league average. 14.0% of batted balls allowed by Seth Lugo are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%