Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Drake Baldwin

matchup for Drew Smyly

out of 436 (Worst %)

Drew Smyly

matchup for Drake Baldwin

249th out of 567 (Best 45%)

Strong advantage for Smyly

Drake Baldwin has a 27.3% chance of reaching base vs Drew Smyly, which is 1.4% higher than Baldwin's typical expectations, and 5.8% lower than batters facing Smyly.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	27.3%	19.3%	2.4%	3.8%	13.1%	8.0%	34.2%
Baldwin	+1.4	+1.2	+0.2	+0.2	+0.8	+0.1	+2.1
Smyly	-5.8	-4.0	-0.5	-1.4	-2.1	-1.8	+10.6

Drake Baldwin hasn't faced much left-handed pitching. Drew Smyly is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Baldwin doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Drew Smyly throws a 4-seam fastball 23% of the time. Drake Baldwin hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

23%

Sinker (L)

20%

23% of Drew Smyly's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Drake Baldwin hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 23%

+3%

Meatball 7%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Mid Challenge 11%

+0%

Weak Challenge 9%

Edge Painter 17%

-1%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

41% of Drew Smyly's pitches are classified as Small Break Toward Third Base, which is 32% higher than the MLB average. Drake Baldwin hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Small Break 41%

+32%

Extreme Slow Velo 31%

+23%

Medium Drop 29%

+17%

Breaking (L) 42%

+12%

24.6% of Drake Baldwin's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.3% higher than the league average. Drew Smyly strikes out 17.8% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

24%

Strikeout +0.3% +2.6% 7%

Walk +0.0% -1.4% 66%

In Play -0.3% -1.3% 39%

On Base +17.8% -2.8% 31%

Hit +17.8% -1.4% 14%

Single +7.8% -1.1% 13%

2B / 3B +8.2% -0.8% 3%

Home Run +1.8% +0.4%

33.7% of Drake Baldwin's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.7% lower than the league average. Drew Smyly induces Standard Grounders at a 28.4% rate, which is 6.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.8% +0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder -0.7% -6.0% 7%

Hard Grounder +3.5% +0.8% 14%

Low Screamer -15.0% +2.9% 9%

Rising Liner -9.6% +0.1% 4%

Maybe Homer +28.9% -0.9% 3%

Likely Homer -3.6% +0.3% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% -0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.8% -0.2% 3%

Pop up -3.4% +3.1%

44.4% of Drake Baldwin's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 20.1% higher than the league average. 22.3% of batted balls allowed by Drew Smyly are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -16.2% +0.2% 21%

75 to 86 mph -10.0% +0.7% 18%

87 to 93 mph -18.9% +1.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph +25.0% -0.7% 24%

Above 100 mph +20.1% -2.0%

33.1% of Drake Baldwin's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 21.7% higher than the league average. 12.1% of batted balls allowed by Drew Smyly are hit at this angle, which is 0.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%