Matchup Machine

Drake Baldwin

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matchup for Kevin Gausman

out of 436 (Worst %)

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Kevin Gausman

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matchup for Drake Baldwin

393rd out of 567 (Worst 31%)

Extreme advantage for Gausman
9

Model Prediction

Drake Baldwin has a 23.7% chance of reaching base vs Kevin Gausman, which is 2.2% lower than Baldwin's typical expectations, and 7.7% lower than batters facing Gausman.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction23.7%17.5%2.1%3.4%11.9%6.2%30.7%
Baldwin-2.2-0.5-0.1-0.2-0.3-1.7-1.4
Gausman-7.7-5.7-0.5-2.7-2.5-2.0+9.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Drake Baldwin hasn't faced much right-handed pitching. Kevin Gausman is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Baldwin doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Kevin Gausman throws a 4-seam fastball 51% of the time. Drake Baldwin hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
51%
   Slider (R)
11%

Contact and Outcomes

24.6% of Drake Baldwin's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.3% higher than the league average. Kevin Gausman strikes out 17.4% of the batters he faces, which is 3.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 24%         Strikeout +0.3% +3.1% 7%         Walk +0.0% -1.5% 66%         In Play -0.3% -1.6% 39%         On Base +17.8% -1.9% 31%         Hit +17.8% -0.4% 14%         Single +7.8% -0.1% 13%         2B / 3B +8.2% +0.1% 3%         Home Run +1.8% -0.4%

History

No History in the last 3 years