Matchup Machine

Will Brennan

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matchup for Roki Sasaki

235th out of 436 (Worst 46%)

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Roki Sasaki

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matchup for Will Brennan

out of 567 (Worst %)

Extreme advantage for Brennan
9

Model Prediction

Will Brennan has a 34.8% chance of reaching base vs Roki Sasaki, which is 4.9% higher than Brennan's typical expectations, and 2.3% lower than batters facing Sasaki.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.8%26.7%2.1%7.6%17.0%8.1%14.4%
Brennan+4.9+1.7+0.6+2.0-0.8+3.2-1.4
Sasaki-2.3+4.1-0.9+1.3+3.6-6.3-8.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Will Brennan is better vs right-handed pitching. Roki Sasaki is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Brennan has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Roki Sasaki throws a 4-seam fastball 60% of the time. Will Brennan has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
60%
   Splitter (R)
26%
   Slider (R)
15%

Contact and Outcomes

8.5% of Will Brennan's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 10.2% lower than the league average. Roki Sasaki strikes out 19.4% of the batters he faces, which is 4.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -10.2% -4.7% 6%         Walk -3.7% +27.6% 34%         In Play +13.9% -23.0% 39%         On Base +4.9% +14.9% 31%         Hit +8.6% -12.8% 14%         Single +4.8% -3.0% 13%         2B / 3B +5.2% -6.7% 3%         Home Run -1.4% -3.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years