Matchup Machine

Will Brennan

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matchup for Declan Cronin

249th out of 436 (Worst 43%)

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Declan Cronin

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matchup for Will Brennan

246th out of 567 (Best 44%)

Leans in favor of Brennan
2

Model Prediction

Will Brennan has a 31.0% chance of reaching base vs Declan Cronin, which is 1.0% higher than Brennan's typical expectations, and 1.4% lower than batters facing Cronin.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.0%26.0%1.4%5.3%19.3%5.0%15.0%
Brennan+1.0+1.0-0.1-0.3+1.4+0.0-0.8
Cronin-1.4+2.8-0.8+0.8+2.9-4.3-8.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Will Brennan is better vs right-handed pitching. Declan Cronin is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Brennan has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Declan Cronin throws a Slider 52% of the time. Will Brennan has a B grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
52%
   Sinker (R)
41%
   4-Seam (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

8.5% of Will Brennan's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 10.2% lower than the league average. Declan Cronin strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -10.2% -0.3% 6%         Walk -3.7% -0.3% 34%         In Play +13.9% +0.5% 39%         On Base +4.9% +3.8% 31%         Hit +8.6% +4.0% 14%         Single +4.8% +2.7% 13%         2B / 3B +5.2% +3.1% 3%         Home Run -1.4% -1.7%

History

Will Brennan has 2 plate appearances against Declan Cronin in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 2.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual222002001.000
Expected From Contact →0.580.000.000.580.292
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-06-08Single22%77%
2023-07-30Single36%64%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.