Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Will Brennan

matchup for Jared Jones

169th out of 436 (Best 40%)

Jared Jones

matchup for Will Brennan

444th out of 567 (Worst 22%)

Moderate advantage for Jones

Will Brennan has a 28.9% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 1.0% lower than Brennan's typical expectations, and 2.1% lower than batters facing Jones.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	28.9%	23.1%	1.6%	5.5%	16.1%	5.8%	22.3%
Brennan	-1.0	-1.9	+0.0	-0.1	-1.8	+0.9	+6.5
Jones	-2.1	+2.3	-1.4	+0.4	+3.3	-4.5	-6.3

Will Brennan is better vs right-handed pitching. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Brennan has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Will Brennan has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

49%

Slider (R)

35%

Curve (R)

Changeup (R)

17% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Will Brennan has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 17%

+6%

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 6%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-4%

36% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Will Brennan has a D- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 36%

+16%

Extreme Fast Velo 18%

+15%

Breaking (R) 44%

+13%

High Ride 22%

+11%

8.5% of Will Brennan's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 10.2% lower than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

18%

Strikeout -10.2% +0.4% 6%

Walk -3.7% +0.6% 34%

In Play +13.9% -1.1% 39%

On Base +4.9% -0.1% 31%

Hit +8.6% -0.8% 14%

Single +4.8% -1.1% 13%

2B / 3B +5.2% -0.5% 3%

Home Run -1.4% +0.9%

36.9% of Will Brennan's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.5% higher than the league average. Jared Jones induces Standard Grounders at a 30.0% rate, which is 4.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.5% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder +2.5% -4.4% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.6% +0.4% 14%

Low Screamer +4.3% -2.4% 9%

Rising Liner +0.7% +1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer -2.2% +1.5% 3%

Likely Homer -1.4% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter -1.0% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -2.1% +1.5% 3%

Pop up +1.3% +2.5%

16.9% of Will Brennan's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 7.4% lower than the league average. 24.7% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.7% +1.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph +2.4% -4.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph +2.2% -2.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.1% +5.2% 24%

Above 100 mph -7.4% +0.4%

11.1% of Will Brennan's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.3% lower than the league average. 8.9% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%