Matchup Machine

Will Brennan

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matchup for Trevor Rogers

108th out of 436 (Best 26%)

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Trevor Rogers

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matchup for Will Brennan

190th out of 567 (Best 34%)

Moderate advantage for Brennan
4

Model Prediction

Will Brennan has a 30.9% chance of reaching base vs Trevor Rogers, which is 0.9% higher than Brennan's typical expectations, and 3.2% lower than batters facing Rogers.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.9%25.8%1.6%5.8%18.3%5.1%12.2%
Brennan+0.9+0.7+0.1+0.2+0.5+0.2-3.6
Rogers-3.2+1.5-1.1+0.1+2.5-4.7-7.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Will Brennan is worse vs left-handed pitching. Trevor Rogers is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Brennan doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Trevor Rogers throws a 4-seam fastball 48% of the time. Will Brennan hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
48%
   Changeup (L)
26%
   Slider (L)
18%
   Sinker (L)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

8.5% of Will Brennan's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 10.2% lower than the league average. Trevor Rogers strikes out 14.8% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -10.2% -0.4% 6%         Walk -3.7% +0.3% 34%         In Play +13.9% +0.2% 39%         On Base +4.9% +0.7% 31%         Hit +8.6% +0.4% 14%         Single +4.8% +0.4% 13%         2B / 3B +5.2% +0.8% 3%         Home Run -1.4% -0.8%

History

No History in the last 3 years