Matchup Machine

Will Brennan

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matchup for Felix Bautista

292nd out of 436 (Worst 33%)

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Felix Bautista

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matchup for Will Brennan

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Bautista
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Model Prediction

Will Brennan has a 28.4% chance of reaching base vs Felix Bautista, which is 1.5% lower than Brennan's typical expectations, and 0.7% lower than batters facing Bautista.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.4%20.5%1.5%4.3%14.6%7.9%25.7%
Brennan-1.5-4.50.0-1.3-3.3+3.0+9.9
Bautista-0.7+4.0-1.1+1.3+3.8-4.7-10.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Will Brennan is better vs right-handed pitching. Felix Bautista is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Brennan has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Felix Bautista throws a 4-seam fastball 65% of the time. Will Brennan has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
65%
   Splitter (R)
25%
   Slider (R)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

8.5% of Will Brennan's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 10.2% lower than the league average. Felix Bautista strikes out 25.5% of the batters he faces, which is 19.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -10.2% +19.3% 6%         Walk -3.7% +2.3% 34%         In Play +13.9% -21.6% 39%         On Base +4.9% -10.2% 31%         Hit +8.6% -12.5% 14%         Single +4.8% -5.8% 13%         2B / 3B +5.2% -5.4% 3%         Home Run -1.4% -1.3%

History

No History in the last 3 years