Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Will Brennan

matchup for Erick Fedde

156th out of 436 (Best 37%)

Erick Fedde

matchup for Will Brennan

253rd out of 567 (Best 45%)

Leans in favor of Brennan

Will Brennan has a 29.5% chance of reaching base vs Erick Fedde, which is 0.4% higher than Brennan's typical expectations, and 2.6% lower than batters facing Fedde.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.5%	25.4%	1.5%	5.7%	18.2%	4.0%	11.7%
Brennan	-0.4	+0.4	0.0	+0.1	+0.3	-0.9	-4.1
Fedde	-2.6	+2.5	-1.1	+0.4	+3.2	-5.2	-7.6

Will Brennan is better vs right-handed pitching. Erick Fedde is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Brennan has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Erick Fedde throws a Sinker 40% of the time. Will Brennan has an A- grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

40%

Cutter (R)

25%

Curve (R)

17%

Changeup (R)

Slider (R)

11% of Erick Fedde's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Will Brennan has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 11%

+3%

Likely Ball 21%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Mid Challenge 8%

-3%

30% of Erick Fedde's pitches are classified as Just Gravity, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Will Brennan has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Just Gravity 30%

+16%

Fastball (R) 67%

+13%

Medium Fast Velo 26%

+11%

Large Break 14%

+9%

8.5% of Will Brennan's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 10.2% lower than the league average. Erick Fedde strikes out 15.4% of the batters he faces, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

18%

Strikeout -10.2% -0.7% 6%

Walk -3.7% -1.3% 34%

In Play +13.9% +2.1% 39%

On Base +4.9% +0.7% 31%

Hit +8.6% +2.1% 14%

Single +4.8% +0.8% 13%

2B / 3B +5.2% +1.3% 3%

Home Run -1.4% 0.0%

36.9% of Will Brennan's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.5% higher than the league average. Erick Fedde induces Standard Grounders at a 36.1% rate, which is 1.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.5% -0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder +2.5% +1.6% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.6% +0.3% 14%

Low Screamer +4.3% +0.0% 9%

Rising Liner +0.7% -0.8% 4%

Maybe Homer -2.2% +0.1% 3%

Likely Homer -1.4% -0.7% 1%

No Doubter -1.0% +0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout -2.1% -2.8% 3%

Pop up +1.3% +2.1%

16.9% of Will Brennan's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 7.4% lower than the league average. 27.5% of batted balls allowed by Erick Fedde are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.7% +0.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph +2.4% -0.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph +2.2% -3.1% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.1% -0.5% 24%

Above 100 mph -7.4% +3.2%

11.1% of Will Brennan's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.3% lower than the league average. 8.6% of batted balls allowed by Erick Fedde are hit at this angle, which is 2.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +2.2% +2.6% 12%

-10 to 0° -2.8% +1.3% 8%

1 to 6° +0.3% -1.7% 18%

7 to 18° +3.3% -0.2% 15%

19 to 28° -1.7% +0.9% 11%

29 to 38° -0.3% -2.8% 7%

39 to 50° -3.2% -1.1% 8%

Above 50° +2.3% +1.0%

Will Brennan has 6 plate appearances against Erick Fedde in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 5 with a walk

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	6	5	2	0	0	2	0	1	0.400
Expected From Contact →			1.07	0.00	0.08	0.98			0.214

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-05-09	Single			54%	45%
2024-05-09	Single			35%	65%
2024-05-09	Groundout		3%	1%	96%
2024-04-10	Walk
2024-04-10	Flyout		3%		96%
2024-04-10	Groundout		2%	7%	91%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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