Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Will Brennan

matchup for Caleb Thielbar

198th out of 436 (Best 46%)

Caleb Thielbar

matchup for Will Brennan

292nd out of 567 (Worst 49%)

Leans in favor of Brennan

Will Brennan has a 30.2% chance of reaching base vs Caleb Thielbar, which is 0.3% higher than Brennan's typical expectations, and 1.7% lower than batters facing Thielbar.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.2%	24.5%	2.3%	5.0%	17.1%	5.8%	20.4%
Brennan	+0.3	-0.6	+0.8	-0.5	-0.8	+0.8	+4.6
Thielbar	-1.7	+2.7	-0.9	0.0	+3.6	-4.3	-7.6

Will Brennan is worse vs left-handed pitching. Caleb Thielbar is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Brennan has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

Caleb Thielbar throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Will Brennan hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

49%

Slider (L)

29%

Curve (L)

22%

16% of Caleb Thielbar's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Will Brennan has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 16%

+5%

Strong Challenge 9%

+4%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Meatball 3%

-2%

Weak Challenge 6%

-3%

Non-Competitive 8%

-4%

50% of Caleb Thielbar's pitches are classified as Breaking Pitches, which is 21% higher than the MLB average. Will Brennan hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Breaking (L) 50%

+21%

Small Break 29%

+21%

Slow Lob 22%

+18%

Extreme Drop 22%

+17%

8.5% of Will Brennan's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 10.2% lower than the league average. Caleb Thielbar strikes out 18.8% of the batters he faces, which is 5.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

18%

Strikeout -10.2% +5.2% 6%

Walk -3.7% +1.9% 34%

In Play +13.9% -7.1% 39%

On Base +4.9% -6.1% 31%

Hit +8.6% -8.0% 14%

Single +4.8% -4.3% 13%

2B / 3B +5.2% -3.9% 3%

Home Run -1.4% +0.2%

36.9% of Will Brennan's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.5% higher than the league average. Caleb Thielbar induces Standard Grounders at a 31.6% rate, which is 2.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.5% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder +2.5% -2.8% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.6% -3.1% 14%

Low Screamer +4.3% -0.5% 9%

Rising Liner +0.7% -1.4% 4%

Maybe Homer -2.2% -0.7% 3%

Likely Homer -1.4% +0.9% 1%

No Doubter -1.0% +0.4% 20%

Routine Flyout -2.1% +2.4% 3%

Pop up +1.3% +5.0%

16.9% of Will Brennan's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 7.4% lower than the league average. 23.3% of batted balls allowed by Caleb Thielbar are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.7% +2.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph +2.4% +1.4% 18%

87 to 93 mph +2.2% +2.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.1% -4.6% 24%

Above 100 mph -7.4% -1.0%

11.1% of Will Brennan's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.3% lower than the league average. 10.7% of batted balls allowed by Caleb Thielbar are hit at this angle, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%